Here’s What’s Concerning About Casablanca Group’s (HKG:2223) Returns On Capital

Ignoring the stock price of a company, what are the underlying trends that tell us a business is past the growth phase? More often than not, we’ll see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining amount of capital employed. This indicates to us that the business is not only shrinking the size of its net assets, but its returns are falling as well. On that note, looking into Casablanca Group (HKG:2223), we weren’t too upbeat about how things were going.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those that aren’t sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Casablanca Group:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets – Current Liabilities)

0.028 = HK$12m ÷ (HK$499m – HK$91m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).

Thus, Casablanca Group has an ROCE of 2.8%. In absolute terms, that’s a low return and it also under-performs the Consumer Durables industry average of 11%.

Our analysis indicates that 2223 is potentially undervalued!

Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Casablanca Group’s ROCE against it’s prior returns. If you’d like to look at how Casablanca Group has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Can We Tell From Casablanca Group’s ROCE Trend?

In terms of Casablanca Group’s historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn’t inspire confidence. To be more specific, the ROCE was 8.0% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. On top of that, it’s worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. So because these trends aren’t typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn’t hold our breath on Casablanca Group becoming one if things continue as they have.

In Conclusion…

In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn’t typically an indication that we’re looking at a growth stock. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 46% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.

If you want to know some of the risks facing Casablanca Group we’ve found 4 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.