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Is GoPro (NASDAQ:GPRO) A Risky Investment?


Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, ‘The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about… and every practical investor I know worries about.’ So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that GoPro, Inc. (NASDAQ:GPRO) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company’s debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for GoPro

What Is GoPro’s Debt?

As you can see below, GoPro had US$140.8m of debt at September 2022, down from US$229.7m a year prior. But it also has US$348.8m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$208.0m net cash.

NasdaqGS:GPRO Debt to Equity History January 12th 2023

A Look At GoPro’s Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, GoPro had liabilities of US$296.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$191.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$348.8m in cash and US$85.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$53.2m.

Of course, GoPro has a market capitalization of US$863.8m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, GoPro boasts net cash, so it’s fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

On the other hand, GoPro’s EBIT dived 12%, over the last year. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. There’s no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if GoPro can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you’re focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While GoPro has net cash on its balance sheet, it’s still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, GoPro actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There’s nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders’ good graces.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to look at a company’s total liabilities, it is very reassuring that GoPro has US$208.0m in net cash. And it impressed us with free cash flow of US$140m, being 158% of its EBIT. So we are not troubled with GoPro’s debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet – far from it. For example – GoPro has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course, if you’re the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don’t hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we’re helping make it simple.

Find out whether GoPro is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.



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