Is Page Industries Limited’s (NSE:PAGEIND) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way?

Page Industries (NSE:PAGEIND) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 29% over the last three months. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company’s financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. In this article, we decided to focus on Page Industries’ ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company’s success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

View our latest analysis for Page Industries

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Page Industries is:

67% = ₹7.3b ÷ ₹11b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).

The ‘return’ refers to a company’s earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every ₹1 of its shareholder’s investments, the company generates a profit of ₹0.67.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or “retains” for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don’t necessarily bear these characteristics.

Page Industries’ Earnings Growth And 67% ROE

Firstly, we acknowledge that Page Industries has a significantly high ROE. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 12% the company’s ROE is quite impressive. This probably laid the groundwork for Page Industries’ moderate 9.0% net income growth seen over the past five years.

As a next step, we compared Page Industries’ net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company’s growth is lower than the industry average growth of 17% in the same period.

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Page Industries fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Page Industries Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

While Page Industries has a three-year median payout ratio of 68% (which means it retains 32% of profits), the company has still seen a fair bit of earnings growth in the past, meaning that its high payout ratio hasn’t hampered its ability to grow.

Additionally, Page Industries has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 74%. Therefore, the company’s future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 64%.

Summary

In total, it does look like Page Industries has some positive aspects to its business. The company has grown its earnings moderately as previously discussed. Still, the high ROE could have been even more beneficial to investors had the company been reinvesting more of its profits. As highlighted earlier, the current reinvestment rate appears to be quite low. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company’s earnings are expected to gain momentum. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company’s fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst’s forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.