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Is Vista Outdoor’s Stock Performance A Reflection Of Financial Strengths?


Vista Outdoor (NYSE:VSTO) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 15% over the last month. Since the market usually pay for a company’s long-term fundamentals, we decided to study the company’s key performance indicators to see if they could be influencing the market. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Vista Outdoor’s ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company’s success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Vista Outdoor

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Vista Outdoor is:

33% = US$450m ÷ US$1.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).

The ‘return’ is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder’s investments, the company generates a profit of $0.33.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company’s future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or “retain”, we are then able to evaluate a company’s future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don’t have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Vista Outdoor’s Earnings Growth And 33% ROE

To begin with, Vista Outdoor has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Even when compared to the industry average of 29% the company’s ROE is pretty decent. Given the circumstances, the significant 62% net income growth seen by Vista Outdoor over the last five years is not surprising.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Vista Outdoor’s growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 34% in the same period, which is great to see.

NYSE:VSTO Past Earnings Growth January 17th 2023

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Vista Outdoor fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Vista Outdoor Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Vista Outdoor doesn’t pay any dividend currently which essentially means that it has been reinvesting all of its profits into the business. This definitely contributes to the high earnings growth number that we discussed above.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with Vista Outdoor’s performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. That being so, according to the latest industry analyst forecasts, the company’s earnings are expected to shrink in the future. To know more about the company’s future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

Valuation is complex, but we’re helping make it simple.

Find out whether Vista Outdoor is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.



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