Consumer Durables News

Kin Yat Holdings (HKG:638) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt


Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that ‘Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.’ It’s only natural to consider a company’s balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Kin Yat Holdings Limited (HKG:638) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of ‘creative destruction’ where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Kin Yat Holdings

What Is Kin Yat Holdings’s Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Kin Yat Holdings had debt of HK$529.1m at the end of March 2022, a reduction from HK$659.5m over a year. On the flip side, it has HK$284.8m in cash leading to net debt of about HK$244.4m.

SEHK:638 Debt to Equity History July 28th 2022

A Look At Kin Yat Holdings’ Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Kin Yat Holdings had liabilities of HK$1.15b falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$176.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had HK$284.8m in cash and HK$300.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$742.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the HK$320.4m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we’d watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Kin Yat Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company’s debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Kin Yat Holdings has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 1.7, its interest cover seems weak, at 1.9. In large part that’s it has so much depreciation and amortisation. While companies often boast that these charges are non-cash, most such businesses will therefore require ongoing investment (that is not expensed.) In any case, it’s safe to say the company has meaningful debt. Importantly, Kin Yat Holdings’s EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 71% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Kin Yat Holdings’s earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it’s definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don’t cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Kin Yat Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

To be frank both Kin Yat Holdings’s EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it’s pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that’s encouraging. We’re quite clear that we consider Kin Yat Holdings to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we’re almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner’s fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There’s no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet – far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we’ve spotted with Kin Yat Holdings (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .

If, after all that, you’re more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.



Source link