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Optimism for Arvind (NSE:ARVIND) has grown this past week, despite three-year decline in earnings


While Arvind Limited (NSE:ARVIND) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn’t had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 20% in the last quarter. On the other hand the share price is higher than it was three years ago. Arguably you’d have been better off buying an index fund, because the gain of 78% in three years isn’t amazing.

Since the stock has added ₹2.4b to its market cap in the past week alone, let’s see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

View our latest analysis for Arvind

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During three years of share price growth, Arvind moved from a loss to profitability. So we would expect a higher share price over the period.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

NSEI:ARVIND Earnings Per Share Growth August 2nd 2022

We know that Arvind has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Arvind had a tough year, with a total loss of 6.1%, against a market gain of about 9.1%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 12% doled out over the last five years. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we’ve spotted with Arvind (including 1 which is concerning) .

But note: Arvind may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on IN exchanges.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.



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