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Rising costs & falling orders slow down global supply chains in Q2

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Global supply chain activity slowed for the second quarter in a row in Q2, dropping by a further six points against forecast estimates, according to the latest Index of Global Trade Health. The Index is released by Tradeshift, a San Francisco-based supply chain commerce platform which is aiding digital trade transactions between B2B buyers and suppliers.

Tradeshift’s Index of Global Trade Health analyses business-to-business transaction volumes (orders processed from buyers and invoices processed from suppliers) submitted via the Tradeshift platform to offer a perspective of how external events may be impacting business-to-business commerce in a variety of different regions and sectors across the globe.

Global supply chain activity slowed for the second quarter in a row in Q2, dropping by a further six points against forecast estimates, according to the latest Index of Global Trade Health. The Index is released by Tradeshift, a San Francisco-based supply chain commerce platform which is aiding digital trade transactions between B2B buyers and suppliers.

Order volumes on Tradeshift’s platform fell even further below expectation in Q2, sliding by a further six points following a seven-point drop in the previous quarter. The lack of fresh orders is beginning to impact suppliers, who had only recently been struggling to cope with surging demand. The number of invoices submitted by suppliers dropped by seven points in Q2, the most significant slowdown in a year, Tradeshift said.

Orders might be softening, but Tradeshift’s analysis suggests costs have risen sharply since the beginning of the year. The average value of an invoice submitted on Tradeshift’s platform has increased by 11 per cent since the start of 2022, compared to a more modest 3.5 per cent rise in 2021.

“Many of the current supply chain challenges, including inflation, have roots in the pandemic,” said Christian Lanng, CEO and co-founder at Tradeshift. “Some of these problems are transitory, but the bigger issues, including labour shortages, geopolitical tension, and energy transition, are structural and risk becoming entrenched unless businesses take decisive action now.”

Tradeshift’s analysis revealed a remarkably similar pattern across regional supply chains the world over. Total trade activity in the UK and the Eurozone dropped by five points, with new orders and supplier invoices tracking below the expected range. US supply chains fared slightly better than the global average. Transaction volumes were four points below the expected range in Q2, but the volume of new orders remains low. Chinese trade activity had another challenging quarter as new lockdown measures in key cities contributed to another seven-point fall in transaction volumes against the expected range.

Tradeshift’s data suggests that declining demand is also leading to a cooling-off in activity across the transport and logistics sector. Transaction volumes across the industry dipped below the expected range for the first time in a year after a five-point fall in activity compared to the previous quarter.

Manufacturing and retail trade activity also remained below the expected range. Technology spending recovered sharply in Q2, with activity tracking well within the predicted range.

“It would be an entirely natural response for business leaders to want to batten down the hatches and wait for the current storm to pass,” said Lanng, “but many of the same problems supply chains face today will still be there a year from now. How long can a business hold its breath before it runs out of air? The majority of business leaders I speak to are keeping their eyes on the horizon and pressing ahead with much-need investments in technology that will allow them to become more agile, resilient, and sustainable.”

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (NB)



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